Around the 20.04.In 2015, the interest rates for a construction financing with a 5-year commitment were at a historically low 0.4 percent. In the course of June, they rose relatively quickly to ca. 1.3 percent increase. Does this now mean an interest rate turnaround in construction financing? The fact is that yields on government bonds – always an indicator of the development of mortgage rates – have also risen significantly. Sank the yield on the ten-year federal bond of approx. 5.3 percent in 2008 until mid-April, it has multiplied since then and is currently around 0.8 percent. Of course, there is no reason to panic yet. Nevertheless, an interest rate turnaround in construction financing is likely on the horizon.
Interest rate turnaround in construction financing at low levels in the medium term
Even if the expert voices increase that an interest rate turnaround in the construction financing is initiated, this will turn out on a very low level and will not reach the 2 or even 3 percent line for a long time (with 5 year fixed interest rate, good credit rating and average loan-to-value ratio) – in comparison to the interest rate in 2008, when this construction financing still cost around 5 percent. It will be at a very moderate level in 2015, because the indicators such as the current monetary policy of the ECB, the still rather weak economic development in Europe and the U.S., and the inflation figures do not point to a massive change in interest rate policy. Nevertheless, this interest rate turnaround in construction financing is an indication that the historic low interest rate periods are slowly coming to an end.


